If you’re packing for Durban, we hope you’ll pause right now and add to your bag AVAC’s annual state of the field, Big Data Real People. The full PDF, Executive Summary and graphics are available here.

As always, AVAC Report is our annual advocacy analysis, with an agenda that spans the next 12 months—and beyond. We’ve designed it be a clear, succinct, actionable statement of the strengths and weakness of HIV prevention data today—and we hope you’ll join us in amplifying these messages at next week’s gathering.

Even if you’re not heading to Durban, we hope that this year’s Report will top your packing list for the journey through the next 12 months of advocacy and action.

In the Report, we argue that the state of HIV prevention data collection in 2016 is poor. One part of the solution lies in the adoption of “HIV Prevention Data Dashboards”. This tracking tool could bring the same specificity and accountability to non-ART prevention services that the “treatment cascade” of diagnosis, initiation, retention and virologic suppression does for antiretrovirals for people living with HIV.

The world cannot even pretend that ending AIDS is possible without action on non-ART prevention. We need to roll out what we have, continue R&D on what we still need, as well as scale up ART for all people living with HIV. That’s what the new UNAIDS Prevention Gap report says. That’s what AVAC has said for years. That’s what we hope you’ll say in Durban and over the coming year.

Here’s the Report, a roadmap for the coming year. Please read it, join us on the journey, let us know what you think!

When AVAC was founded in 1995, we were called the AIDS Vaccine Advocacy Coalition. Our singular goal was to advance swift, ethical research for a vaccine that was then — and is today — essential to bring the epidemic to a conclusive end.

Twenty years later, AVAC is still focused on swift and ethical research, but our scope has expanded. Along with vaccines, we advocate for PrEP, microbicides, voluntary medical male circumcision and more.

Through it all, our message has been the same: prevention is the center of the AIDS response. Not just any prevention but smart, evidence-based, community-owned, rights-based strategies.

We do this work because it’s essential. We are able to do it because of our robust partnerships worldwide. We will keep doing it — with your help — until the epidemic has, finally, come to an end.

We’ve experienced 20 years of breakthroughs and disappointments in prevention research. A vaccine that many had given up on was the first to provide modest protection. One microbicide everyone hoped for didn’t pan out. Male circumcision and PrEP studies overcame skepticism and, together with antiretroviral therapy, paved the way for a prevention revolution.

Through it all, AVAC has worked with partners to maintain the field’s focus and press for continued research into an AIDS vaccine, a cure and more.

When AVAC was founded, the only biomedical HIV prevention options for adults were male and female condoms. The pathway for introducing any new strategy was largely unmapped. No one knew where the gaps would be—between trial result and country action, between guidance and financial support. Now we do.

Over two decades, AVAC has not only identified the gaps; we’ve worked to bridge them, so that products reach people in programs that work — without delay.

Twenty years ago, advocacy for HIV prevention hardly existed. So AVAC helped build a global network of advocates equipped with effective advocacy strategies and the latest evidence.

With our support, they are putting prevention on the agenda in countries and communities around the globe.

When the world lacked a plan for ending AIDS, we helped create one.

Now we’re holding global leaders accountable for results — demanding the resources, policies and evidence-based plans needed to deliver all of today’s prevention options to the people who need them, and to plan for the rapid rollout of new options as they emerge.

Communities’ support for prevention research can never be taken for granted — it has to be earned. For 20 years, we’ve helped build trust between researchers, funders and communities to speed the ethical development and rollout of new prevention options.

And when controversy threatened to derail those efforts, AVAC provided leadership and resources to help get them back on track.

Your gift to AVAC will support our efforts to accelerate the development and delivery of HIV prevention options to men and women worldwide. With your help, we can continue to convene, collaborate and communicate a strong, clear and cohesive vision for HIV prevention today, tomorrow and to end the epidemic.

It will take all of us working together to end AIDS. Please join us.

AVAC’s annual report of the field, the upcoming CROI meeting and why the coming year is the best and worst of times for HIV prevention

Next week, scientists, advocates and clinicians will gather in Seattle for the Conference on Retroviruses and Opportunistic Infections (CROI), a venerable HIV meeting that often triggers media coverage of the AIDS epidemic and the potential for curbing it and preserving health in people living with HIV.

A range of data is expected from CROI including “late-breaker” abstracts that will showcase data from IPERGAY and PROUD, two trials of oral PrEP using TDF/FTC in gay men and other men who have sex with men in Europe and Canada, and another trial of the microbicide 1% vaginal tenofovir gel in South African women. There will also be data from a PrEP “demonstration project” that provided the strategy in a real-life context for Kenyan and Ugandan couples with one HIV-positive and one HIV-negative partner.
We don’t know what the specific headlines will be, but we can say with confidence that one take-away must be this: The future of HIV prevention is on the line.

In our latest report, AVAC Report 2014/15: Prevention on the Line, we provide a clear agenda for what needs to happen, what’s missing, and why it matters now more than ever before.

Specifically, we argue that:

• Ambitious prevention goals matter. They can galvanize new action, in part by expanding our sense of what’s possible.

• But these goals will only work if they’re feasible, well-defined, measurable, and backed by adequate resources and political support. The prevention goals issued so far are inspiring but they don’t yet meet those requirements.

• As the UNAIDS “Fast Track” for 2020 set aspirational goals, clear short-term targets are also urgently needed. We can’t wait for five years to see if the world is on track to end the AIDS epidemic.

• The global AIDS response is running at a major financial deficit. New targets will not be met—and may even be irrelevant—if we fail to close a growing global funding gap.

Recent breakthroughs in HIV research have transformed the ability to curb new infections, making it possible to contemplate the end of the global AIDS epidemic. But prevention could be left behind if global leadership fails to make it a priority.

Recently, UNAIDS issued broad goals for HIV testing, ART provision and virologic suppression over the next five years. According to the agency, achieving these “90-90-90” goals would put the world on track to effectively end the AIDS epidemic by 2030.

On the prevention front, UNAIDS seeks to reduce new infections worldwide from 2.1 million in 2013 to 500,000 in 2020, and to eliminate stigma and discrimination. These are ambitious goals and worth aspiring to. But something important is missing from the picture—intervention-specific targets with the specificity, strategy and resources to match. The goal is great. What’s missing is how to get there.

In twenty years, we will have ample hindsight as to whether today’s targets mattered in the quest to end AIDS.

But right now, foresight and focus are urgently required. We’re concerned about whether the targets that have been set are the right ones, how much targets matter—particularly in the context of a global response running at a disastrous funding deficit—and where prevention targets other than those focused on the antiretrovirals in HIV-positive individuals—fit in. We’re also cognizant that targets can turn from audacious to absurd in the blink of an eye if financing, political will and community buy-in are missing.

AVAC works in coalitions in many of the countries hardest hit by the epidemic. Targets that are developed Geneva, Washington DC and other corridors of power can bear little resemblance to the realities of AIDS endemic countries and communities. Where there’s no reality, there’s no relevance. It’s essential that countries have the technical and financial resources to make global targets relevant to national context. Otherwise, the loftiest goals will be ignored.

As we argue in this Report, targets have played a critical role in changing the course of the epidemic. Likewise, a poorly-thought out target can have no impact at all. Right now, it’s critical that targets and tactics are matched to the lofty but achievable goal of bringing an end to AIDS. This is why we’ve devoted the first section of the Report to a look at why targets matter, what targets are missing, and how advocates for a comprehensive response need to work together to ensure smart, strategic targets across the spectrum of prevention options.

We also focus on issues that underpin (and, sometimes, undermine) the ability to meet these targets. We identify three specific areas for action:

• Align high impact strategies with human rights and realities. Biomedical advances of the past eight years have made it scientifically plausible to talk about ending the epidemic. But plausible doesn’t mean possible. Today some scientists and public health professionals are focused on what can be achieved biomedically—without enough attention to the structural and social contexts in which treatment prevention are delivered. At the same time, some rights-focused partners speak of HIV as being exclusively pill-oriented, suggesting that there isn’t any dynamism or action on the rights-based fronts. It need not be a permanent rift—indeed it cannot be. If science does not get synched up with human rights then then there is little hope of bringing the epidemic to a conclusive end.

• Invest in an oral PrEP-driven paradigm shift. The world is failing to deliver the most effective interventions with smart strategy and at scale. Daily oral PrEP for HIV prevention is just one example. Global targets for PrEP may be released in the coming months, but there aren’t any plans in place to meet them. Demonstration projects are small and disconnected, funding is limited and policy makers aren’t heeding the growing demand from men and women, including young women in Africa. Now is the time to spend and act to fill these gaps.

• Demand short-term results on the path to long-term goals. It will be years before the world has an AIDS vaccine, cure strategies, long-acting injectable ARVs or multipurpose prevention technologies that reduce the risk of HIV acquisition and provide contraception. But there’s plenty of activity in clinical trials and basic science for these long-term goals. This activity needs to be aligned with short-term goals that can be used to measure progress and manage expectations.

As AVAC Report goes to press this week and as we prepare for CROI next week, the United States is grappling with profound questions about the ways that the lives of Black men and women are valued under the law. The world is trying to understand how the West African Ebola epidemics got out of control—and how to bring them to an end. And there is continued concern and vigilance over anti-homosexuality laws in Nigeria and the Gambia, and in hate-mongering environments and legislation that endanger LGBT individuals and many other marginalized groups around the world.

These events are not separate from the work that we do to fight AIDS. They embody the issues of racism, inequity, poverty and security that drive the epidemic that must be addressed to end it. In addition to the HIV-specific work laid out in these pages, it is essential to work towards fundamental, lasting and positive change in each of these areas. That will be history-making, indeed.