Years Ahead in HIV Prevention Research: Time to Market

This timeline shows the potential time points when the next-generation of HIV prevention options might find their way into new programs.

PrEP Initiations in Latin America, 2019-2024

Latin American countries account for 306,000 cumulative PrEP initiations in the Global PrEP Tracker as of Q2 2024, which represent 4% of the global total. Since 2019, PrEP initiations across the region continue to increase at a steady rate, with Brazil reaching about 194,000 cumulative PrEP initiations (63% of regional total) since the inception of its National PrEP Program. Read more in PxWire.

PrEP Approval Status in Latin America, 2024

Since 2019, rates of HIV acquisition in Latin America have been trending upward, from 110,000 annually in 2019 to approximately 120,000 in 2023. At the same time, Latin America has taken strides to combat this trend, from increasing PrEP initiation rates to preparing for longer acting PrEP products, such as injectable cabotegravir (CAB) and lenacapavir (LEN). Learn more in PxWire.

PxWire Volume 14, Issue No. 4

PxWire is AVAC’s quarterly update covering the latest in the field of biomedical HIV prevention research and development, implementation and advocacy. Each issue includes updates, emerging issues and upcoming events. A PDF version of this report is also available.

Progress in PrEP Uptake

The HIVR4P 2024 conference, hosted this year in Lima, Peru, put a spotlight on PrEP delivery in Latin America. Since 2019, rates of HIV acquisition in the region have been trending upward, from 110,000 annually in 2019 to approximately 120,000 in 2023. At the same time, Latin America has taken strides to combat this trend, from increasing PrEP initiation rates to preparing for longer acting PrEP products, such as injectable cabotegravir (CAB) and lenacapavir (LEN).

  • At least 15 Latin American countries have approved oral PrEP. Brazil and Peru also approved CAB for PrEP, and it is under review in Chile, Mexico, and Colombia.
  • Four countries and one territory in the region, Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, Peru, and Puerto Rico, have trial sites participating in the PURPOSE 2 trial, which showed LEN reduced HIV incidence by 96% compared to a background incidence, with 2 incident cases among 2,180 participants receiving LEN.
  • Latin American countries account for 306,000 cumulative PrEP initiations in the Global PrEP Tracker as of Q2 2024, which represent 4% of the global total.
  • Since 2019, PrEP initiations across the region continue to increase at a steady rate, with Brazil reaching about 194,000 cumulative PrEP initiations (63% of regional total) since the inception of its National PrEP Program.

Latest Trends in PrEP Uptake?

Find the latest trends on 2024 data in AVAC’s Global PrEP Tracker. Watch for the next update on November 22.

PrEParing for New Products

  • On October 2, Gilead Sciences announced six licenses to generic manufacturers in Egypt, India, and Pakistan to produce and market lenacapavir (LEN) for PrEP in 120 countries.
  • What’s new about this announcement? This marks an increase in speed, as compared to generic licenses for injectable CAB for PrEP. Gilead awarded these licenses even before submitting LEN for PrEP for regulatory approval in any country. Gilead’s license applies to 120 countries, which is more than the 90 countries covered by the generic license for CAB for PrEP. However, CAB for PrEP’s license also allows for generic supply in countries without patent barriers—by the time generic CAB for PrEP is available, this will be an additional 51 countries. Many countries with high HIV incidence have been left out of Gilead’s licensing deal; notably Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, and Peru, countries in which the PURPOSE 2 Phase III trials took place. In addition, Gilead’s licenses are more restrictive than ViiV’s, in terms of where generics can be marketed.
  • The timeline for generic LEN for PrEP to come to market is expected to be significantly shorter than for CAB for PrEP. Bioequivalence (BE) testing for LEN, which demonstrates a generic product works in the body in the same way as the originator product, is likely to be six months, versus the 18 months for CAB for PrEP, because of differences in the drug formulation. The rapid granting of voluntary licensing by Gilead also contributes to this shorter timeline.
  • Generic regulatory approval submission for LEN for PrEP may begin as early as the second half off 2026, two years after Gilead announced positive trial results. Generic CAB for PrEP is on track to submit for regulatory approval around the same time, approximately six years after the announcement of trial results.

Product Updates

  • CAB for PrEP has been approved in Cote d’Ivoire, Kenya, Myanmar, Namibia, and Ukraine. See AVAC’s Planning Matrix for more!

The Latest R&D in the Prevention Pipeline

Launched at HIVR4P in Lima, Peru in October 2024, the People’s Research Agenda (PRA) is a collaboratively developed framework for aligning the needs and priorities of affected communities with the agenda for HIV prevention research. 130 advocates from more than 20 countries contributed to the framework, which offers guidance on both research conduct and what products to develop.

PRA priorities include:

  • Support a choice-based prevention agenda with clear and realistic target product profiles that reflect the current and future landscape of HIV prevention. Begin with the end in mind by identifying and anticipating trial design issues (feasibility, cost, size, regulatory pathways) and implementation science questions so that the timeline from evidence to impact and to widespread access is as short as possible. Initiate access planning during efficacy trials to ensure expeditious rollout.
  • Center and invest in social and behavioral science that explores end users’ needs and preferences, informs target product profiles, and identifies and addresses social and structural barriers in HIV prevention.
  • Maintain advocacy across product categories to fill important gaps in a comprehensive HIV prevention toolbox. We must make newly efficacious products accessible, and vaccines, bnAbs, implants, and other products in early-phase development will also play an important role for a sustainable end to the epidemic.

Key considerations:

  • Invest in continuous learning so that advocates and communities where research is planned are equipped to weigh in on complex and evolving trial designs and approaches.
  • Novel trial designs using external controls are important in developing new prevention products. However, they must meet the rigorous standards of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) to ensure they provide reliable answers to key research questions without compromising quality.
  • Trial designs must address the needs and concerns of highly impacted communities.
  • Products moved into trials should be ones that fill community-informed gaps, such as improving upon existing prevention methods with innovations in cost, mode of delivery, duration or level of protection and other parameters.
  • Participants should be supported to clearly understand how novel design elements, such as run-in or opt-out phases, may impact their involvement.
  • Ensure that regulators are prepared to review and react to the data generated by future trials, especially if it is a novel design.

The PRA is a living document—emerging priorities, challenges and opportunities will be reflected in ongoing updates. Please share your thoughts, reflections, and comments by emailing Grace Kumwenda at gkumwenda@avac.org. For more information on the People’s Research Agenda visit avac.org/peoples-research-agenda.

Prevention Playlist

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Avac Event

True Choice in HIV Prevention Involves More than Product Options: Novel strategies in service delivery

The Choice Agenda and presenters from Brazil, Kenya, and South Africa discussed novel strategies for the delivery of HIV prevention interventions. All HIV prevention products have their “Achilles Heels.” Differentiated service delivery supports reaching a wide range of potential users and can overcome challenges with product attributes. Offering different strategies can also make the interface with health care easier and more community friendly.

Speakers:

  • Ines Dourado, Universidade Federal da Bahia
  • Catherine Verde Hashim, AVAC
  • Catherine Martin, Wits RHI
  • Katrina Ortblad, Fred Hutch
  • Adriano Queiroz, City of São Paulo Municipal Health Secretariat
  • Daniel Were, Jhpiego

Thanks to WHO for providing live simultaneous Ukrainian translation and to PAHO for providing live simultaneous translation in Portuguese and Spanish.

Video Recording and English Audio / Ukrainian Audio / Portuguese Audio / Spanish Audio / Slides / Resources

HIVR4P Highlights, Inclusive Prevention Pipeline, Policy Shaping & More

AVAC’s round-up of resources, updates and insights this week includes highlights from HIVR4P, a new vision for an inclusive prevention pipeline, shaping policy and more!

HIVR4P 2024 conference highlights and recap

The 5th HIV Research for Prevention (R4P) conference was held last week in Lima, Peru. The data and discussions centered on accomplishments in HIV prevention, how far the field remains from reaching targets, understanding how choice works and why it matters, and where the research agenda is headed. As AVAC’s Mitchell Warren told Axios, “lenacapavir is on everybody’s lips here at HIVR4P 2024. That’s probably the second-most popular word this week; I think the most popular word is access.

Read more.

Partners and AVAC launched The People’s Research Agenda (PRA), a global initiative driven by communities and advocates to envision an inclusive HIV prevention pipeline and ensure the voices of those most affected by HIV are integrated into HIV prevention research and development. 

Read the report.

Media Highlights

Shaping policy, centering people

AVAC’s Suraj Madoori Joins Developed Country NGO Delegation (DelDev)

Policy Director, Suraj Madoori is one of four new members to join DevDel, one of the 20 voting delegations to the Board of the Global Fund to fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria. DevDel plays a critical role in the development and evolution of organizational strategy, the funding model, the work of the Secretariat and policy. 

Read more.

AVAC’s Jessica Salzwedel Talks Community Engagement with National Co-ordinating Centre for Public Engagement

In a mini series on community engagement, the National Co-ordinating Centre for Public Engagement interviewed AVAC’s Jessica Salzwedel, Senior Program Manager of Research Engagement on what centering communities truly means.

Listen now.

Avac Event

An Update on the STI R&D Pipeline and Investments

AVAC and Impact Global Health, previously Policy Cures Research, co-hosted a webinar on the current STI R&D pipeline. This discussion featured leading experts sharing the latest advancements in STI diagnostics and treatments, discussing their potential impact on public health and where investments stand.

Speakers:

  • Mandisa Mdingi, Foundation for Professional Development, South Africa
  • Cécile Ventola, Senior Technical Officer at Impact Global Health
  • Birgitta Gleeson, FIND, Switzerland

Recording / Alison Footman Slides / Mandisa Mdingi Slides / Cécile Ventola Slides / Birgitta Gleeson Slides

Moving a Product to the Real World

The rollout of oral PrEP demonstrates that people don’t take PrEP simply because it’s available—there needs to be a demand for it, and it needs to be accessible, acceptable and used effectively by those who need and want it. These are the lessons the field is applying to the rollout of the dapivirine vaginal ring (DVR), and injectable cabotegravir (CAB) and lenacapavir (LEN) for PrEP. To reach the UNAIDS target of 10 million PrEP users by 2025, initiations of oral PrEP alone will not be enough—and this graphic shows that the field is beginning to apply past lessons to accelerate introduction of injectable PrEP options.

This is an updated version of a graphic excerpted from PxWire.

From Clinical Trial Efficacy to Public Health Impact: A Plan for Accelerating Access to Injectable Lenacapavir for PrEP

This plan provides a broad view of all the moving parts and identifies actions and actors responsible for ensuring time is not wasted and opportunity not squandered.

An Overview of Lenacapavir for PrEP Trials

The PURPOSE trials evaluate the safety and efficacy of injectable lenacapavir (LEN), an investigational antiretroviral (ARV) drug being studied as a potential PrEP product. This graphic shows the latest status of all five trials including the groundbreaking results of PURPOSE 1 and PURPOSE 2.