Potential Lenacapavir Supply, 2026-28

Lenacapavir has the potential to reach millions — and the momentum is building. Using the current oral PrEP market as a baseline, this graphic estimates what demand for LEN could look like through 2028 and shows how current donor commitments stack up against that opportunity.

AVAC Comment Submission on the White House OMB Proposed Federal Financial Assistance Rule

HIV Prevention Advocates Applaud South Africa’s Introduction of Lenacapavir for PrEP

Call on Donors and Governments to Accelerate Access to Deliver Actual Impact

In a landmark moment, South Africa today became the 9th African country to introduce lencapavir (LEN) for HIV prevention. South Africa’s introduction of LEN is especially significant given the country’s central role in shaping the regional HIV response and the global PrEP market. As the largest PrEP market in the world, South Africa’s leadership can help drive the demand, volume, market confidence and lower prices needed to accelerate equitable access across the continent and the world. HIV prevention partners AVAC, Advocates for the Prevention of HIV in Africa (APHA), and Access Bridge welcomed today’s news of increased commitments and support from the Global Fund, while calling for further ensure access is realized and impact achieved.

“Today is a breakthrough. Not only for our country and the African continent, which continues to carry some of the world’s largest HIV burdens, but for the global HIV response. Access to LEN allows us to reimagine prevention, especially for young people and adolescent girls and young women who need more choices that fit their lives. It is important to centre our efforts around girls and young women who need to be the focus of our efforts. We must move with urgency to ensure that everyone who could benefit from lenacapavir can do so,” said Yvette Raphael, Executive Director of Advocates for the Prevention of HIV in Africa (APHA) and co-chair of the African Women’s Prevention Community Accountability Board (AWPCAB).

“Today is a sign of what is possible when communities, governments, and partners work together. LEN will offer my generation the chance to protect their health with greater freedom and confidence. We must now make sure this innovation reaches the people who need it most—quickly, equitably, and without barriers. Today is exciting, but it is also a call to action for all of us,” said Lerato Morulane, APHA Ground Force coordinator.

During the launch event, the Global Fund announced that with additional backing from the Children’s Investment Fund Foundation (CIFF), it will scale-up support for South Africa’s LEN roll-out, increasing funding from $29M to nearly $70M to support this more ambitious effort. This contribution to the Global Fund goes toward their joint commitment with PEPFAR to ensure access to LEN for at least three million people over three years – a more solid start than with previous PrEP introductions, but still below the levels needed to deliver impact.

In July 2025, AVAC published a market assessment that the world could go much faster than existing commitments allow and reach at least 1.5 million people with LEN in just one year in low- and middle-income countries if resources were made available, and reach over seven million in three years, if resources were available.

“Lenacapavir has transformational potential for HIV prevention, and today’s launch is another step in the right direction,” said Mitchell Warren, Executive Director of AVAC. “But additional donor investments are urgently needed as the field is still nowhere near what the market can bear and what is needed for impact. A meaningful volume commitment of at least four million LEN users in two years is both possible and has the potential to unlock faster access, strengthen market confidence, and accelerate access to prevention for communities that need it most. Ultimately, LEN must reach more than five million people per year to have real impact, build a sustainable market, and drive prices down even further. Today’s announcement is progress, but we still need to go farther faster.”

LEN has been widely recognized as a transformative HIV prevention option, with the every-six-month injection providing highly effective protection. However, translating the scientific breakthrough of LEN into population-level access and impact requires coordinated action across many sectors, including financing, manufacturing, pricing, regulatory, and delivery.

“Today represents another important milestone, but now we need to roll up our collective sleeves and get to work,” said Wawira Nyagah, Executive Director of Access Bridge. “South Africa has an essential role to play in building the global market for LEN and driving the volumes needed to lower prices, strengthen supply, and accelerate access worldwide. To realize the full potential of this innovation, all stakeholders must work together with even greater urgency, ambition, and a commitment to speed, scale, and equity. The opportunity is in front of us; now we must seize it. To see LEN truly succeed, programs must be designed with communities at the centre and that commitments translate into real access for the people who need it. Access Bridge is working across countries in Eastern and Southern Africa to ensure countries are equipped to meet this moment.”

AVAC and Access Bridge have called on stakeholders to meet the current moment of scientific opportunity and public health need with bolder ambition. The past decade of PrEP programs have highlighted numerous lessons on how to get LEN rollout right as part of comprehensive HIV prevention programs so that today’s announcement translates into real-world impact. Key considerations include:

Today’s announcement builds on prior commitments from the Global Fund and PEPFAR, as well as investments from the Gates Foundation and Unitaid to accelerate development and access to generic LEN at lower prices. With generic LEN likely entering the market in the first half of 2027, now is the time to strengthen and grow the market with Gilead’s supply: the faster the market grows, the more infections that can be averted at lower cost.

“Commitments are important, but orders are essential. In Gilead’s own words, they can produce far more if orders are made,” said Warren. “Especially for 2027, clear timelines and ambitious orders for both originator and generic supply will be critical to avoid gaps in care of current LEN users and to expand the reach of this innovation.”

Avac Event

PrEP Power Webinar — Global Countries

The recent significant changes to global health funding have severely impacted HIV prevention services for those who need them most, in particular key populations (KPs). Already, some countries are seeing concerning trends in data suggesting a resurgence in new infections. At the same time, powerful new HIV prevention options are now a reality, though their promise is not set to be fully realized according to current planning.

This is the second in a series of two webinars providing an overview of what is happening now in countries to HIV prevention services for KPs, featuring tools and analyses produced by GBGMC, in partnership with Access Bridge to support advocacy and planning at country levels.

Speakers will include an array of experts on the global landscape, as well as country and community perspectives.

Discussions Will Explore:

  • Global product introduction experiences
  • Lessons from early adopter countries
  • Policy environments and implementation realities
  • Strategies for equitable LEN access

Featured Countries: Brazil, France, Philippines, Ukraine, United States, Vietnam

Avac Event

PrEP Power Webinar — African Countries

The recent significant changes to global health funding have severely impacted HIV prevention services for those who need them most, in particular key populations (KPs). Already, some countries are seeing concerning trends in data suggesting a resurgence in new infections. At the same time, powerful new HIV prevention options are now a reality, though their promise is not set to be fully realized according to current planning.

This is the first in a series of two webinars providing an overview of what is happening now in countries to HIV prevention services for KPs, featuring tools and analyses produced by GBGMC, in partnership with Access Bridge to support advocacy and planning at country levels.

Speakers will include an array of experts on the global landscape, as well as country and community perspectives.

Featured countries: Eswatini, Kenya, Lesotho, Malawi, Mozambique, Nigeria, South Africa, Uganda, Zambia, Zimbabwe

Avac Event

Inside the Decisions that Changed Global Health: An AVAC Conversation with Nicholas Enrich

On Wednesday, May 20, AVAC’s Mitchell Warren was joined by Nicholas Enrich, author of Into the Wood Chipper and former global health lead at USAID, and Rosemary Mburu, Executive Director of WACI Health, for Inside the Decisions that Changed Global Health: An AVAC Conversation with Nicholas Enrich.

During the call, Enrich shared an inside perspective on the decisions that led to the dismantling of USAID and the foreign aid freeze and what they mean for global health today.

Decline in PEPFAR Supported PrEP

Official characterizations of the HIV response as “doing very good” warrant a closer look at the data. AVAC’s analysis of PEPFAR prevention figures shows PrEP initiations declined 41% in one year, with women and men each seeing drops exceeding 50%. Data on key populations remains unavailable.

10 Minutes with JPIDS

Senior Program Manager of Cure Advocacy, Jessica Salzwedel, is featured on the Journal of Pediatric Infectious Disease Society podcast discussing a recent publication on the ethics of pediatric HIV cure research, “HIV Cure Research: Ethical and Real-World Practical Considerations for Pediatric and Adolescent Populations”. The podcast discusses work born out of the PAVE Collaboratory, the only HIV cure research consortium focused on perinatal HIV.

AVAC Year in Review 2025

2025 underscored the vital role that AVAC plays in the global health ecosystem, and why our work and our partnerships have never been more essential.

This report highlights AVAC’s role as a trusted voice, a translator of science and catalyst for action and advocacy. It reflects an organization ready for the future: supporting African leadership, strengthening bridges from R&D to delivery and preparing for a new chapter as we move forward into our fourth decade as an organization. Read the PDF below or view as a webpage.

One year ago, we sued the US Government…

Today marks one year since AVAC and the Journalism Development Network worked with the Public Citizen Litigation Group to sue the US President, the State Department, the US Agency for International Development (USAID), and others, seeking emergency relief from a sweeping freeze on foreign assistance issued by the incoming administration that abruptly halted life-saving global health and development programs. A parallel case was brought by Global Health Council and partners and assigned to the same District Court judge, underscoring the broad concern across the global health community.

Twelve months later, these cases have come to symbolize a much larger question: whether the executive branch can override Congress’s constitutional authority over federal spending and dismantle decades of bipartisan foreign policy with the stroke of a pen, and whether the courts and Congress will fulfill their responsibilities to serve as checks on unbridled executive power.

The past year has laid bare the real-world consequences of unchecked executive action, threatening lives, destabilizing global partnerships, and undermining the United States’ credibility as a reliable partner. 

An early ruling in AVAC’s case successfully unlocked nearly $2 billion in US government payments for work already completed, affirming that the executive branch cannot refuse to spend money appropriated by Congress. But over the course of 2025, appeals by the administration, ultimately backed by the US Supreme Court, ran down the clock on $4 billion in already-appropriated funds for the 2025 fiscal year, allowing them to expire.  

While the Supreme Court’s ruling did not resolve the underlying constitutional questions, the decision was narrow and the Court left open the opportunity for further argument on the merit of the questions involved. In November 2025, a joint statement to the District Court requested to pause the cases, awaiting the outcome of other relevant court decisions.   

The AVAC and GHC cases remain active, but lawsuits alone cannot restore what was lost—or undo the long-term harm caused by the sudden dismantling of global health systems. 

The actions by this administration demand more than concern. This moment demands public accountability, sustained Congressional oversight, and durable legislative safeguards. Global health and equity require champions willing to fight for lives and livelihoods, and for what’s right. We cannot accept this as the new normal, and we must insist that Congressional authority, democratic governance, and the lives they protect still matter. 

If you’d like to support AVAC in its continued work, please consider making a donation, https://donatenow.networkforgood.org/donate-avac.